most overrated -- WR

The big names like Moss, Owens and Harrison have been replaced by Smith, Johnson and Fitzgerald. The veterans are beginning to move aside to the youth movement. There seems to be a growing gap between the elite WR and the middle of the pack. The problem is that nobody knows which WR will emerge as a star year to year. Last year, it was Steve Smith, who came off a major injury to lead many owners to titles. Who will it be in 2006? Not these guys...

1. Marvin Harrison -- Indianapolis Colts -- You're probably wondering how I can include a guy who has produced 1100+ yards and 10+ TD for the last seven seasons. My logic is simple. Harrison's receptions have declined for three straight seasons, and last year was the first time since 1998 that he didn't lead the team in catches. Reggie Wayne is younger and bigger, and will become Peyton Manning's favorite target this year. Harrison has been among the top-6 WR selected for a long time -- this is the year to break that trend.

2. Santana Moss -- Washington Redskins -- The huge numbers that Moss put up in 2005 (84-1483-9) were a direct result of Mark Brunell's fantastic season. Since Brunell isn't likely to go off again, everyone suffers. Keep in mind that Moss was coming of a season of 45-838-5 with the Jets. I have a hard time trusting Moss to repeat last season, but he could fall somewhere in between '04 and '05. If that's worth a top-10 pick to you, go crazy... but it isn't to me.

3. Laveranues Coles -- New York Jets -- He's following the Derrick Mason career path perfectly. Coles has caught 334 passes over the last four seasons, but has only scored 17 times. His big play ability has vanished, and the quarterback situation in Jetland doesn't bode well for receivers. He's durable and works hard, but I've yet to see a league reward those two traits. Someone will draft him too high because they figure he has to put up a 10+ TD season soon. They are wrong.

4. David Givens -- Tennessee Titans -- Givens has been a solid performer for the last two seasons, but when the Titans gave him a five-year contract, the fantasy world anointed him as a player to watch. Don't watch too closely. Givens doesn't do anything great, and his fantasy numbers won't approach elite status as long as he's being pushed by Brandon Jones and Tyrone Calico, both of whom are younger and bigger. This won't be the year to stock up on Titans.

5. Anyone from Detroit -- Roy Williams is the only one who has had success in the past, as he's caught 16 TD in his first two years in the league... but he's a jerk, and can't stay healthy for an entire season. Neither can Charles Rogers, who has played 15 games in three seasons. Mike Williams is interesting, but he didn't look good as a rookie and he'll be fighting for playing time. You can forget about Corey Bradford or Mike Furrey.