Saturday, March 25, 2006

Burleson to Seahawks?

In a move dubbed "bizarre" by one NFL general manager, the Seahawks have signed restricted free agent WR Nate Burleson to a 7-year, $49 million offer sheet. The terms of the contract are the exact same as that signed by Pro Bowl guard Steve Hutchinson, who ended up with the Vikings after the Seahawks lost an arbitration case challenging provisions of the contract.

This is a ridiculous move for the Seahawks, especially if it is done to prove a point. Burleson has one good season under his belt, and was terrible when given the #1 position last season. Maybe a change of scenery will help, but the Seahawks are making a terrible mistake with the length and amount of this deal.

Friday, March 24, 2006

Keyshawn to Panthers

It appears that the Carolina Panthers and WR Keyshawn Johnson have agreed to a four-year deal that will pay Johnson up to $19 million. The contract has yet to be signed, but reports say an agreement was reached Thursday night.

If the deal goes through, it will give the Panthers a true #2 WR opposite Steve Smith, and relieve pressure off of Jake Delhomme. Keyshawn will be 34 once the season starts, but he's never had a full season less than 70 catches. The deal seems pricey for an aging WR, but he'll give the Panthers at least two solid years.

Vandy to Cowboys

The Cowboys filled a hole in their special teams by signing former Colts K Mike Vanderjagt to a three-year deal worth approximately $6 million. Vanderjagt is the all-time NFL leader in field goal accuracy, but wore out his welcome in Indianapolis by making comments against the organization and Peyton Manning.

It seems like a good fit for the Cowboys, who lost three games in 2005 by three points or less. Their 6-10 record was disappointing, and they've already signed Terrell Owens to boost the offense. Compared to the deal Adam Vinatieri got from the Colts, this looks like a steal for Dallas.

I have to wonder... does this make anyone else think that Bill Parcells is trying to become like the teacher who purposely took all of the bad kids in his class because he thought he could change them? Usually, those teachers end up retiring or switching districts... TO vs. Parcells or Vandy vs. Parcells could be the best storyline in Dallas in 2006.

2006 TE rankings

Here are the 2006 keeper league TE rankings as of the middle of March... rookies are not included in the rankings until after the NFL draft. The number after the player's name indicates his age for a majority of the 2006 season. There will be updates as the offseason continues...

1. Antonio Gates -- 26 -- the clear #1 TE... everyone asked Gates to prove that 2004 wasn't a fluke, so he registered his first 1000 yard season in 2005. He has tremendous hands to go with an agile, big frame. Even Phillip Rivers will be able to keep him on top of the TE world. Nobody is close to him right now.
2. Jeremy Shockey -- 26 -- Shockey had a good season by TE standards, but he wanted the ball more often than he got it. Still, 65-891-7 isn't a bad output. He should continue building rapport with Eli Manning, and will take the next step to a 1000 yard season.
3. Tony Gonzalez -- 30 -- Gonzo was still #2 in catches and yards among tight ends, but only two touchdowns? He might be starting to decline ever so slightly. He only had nine catches for 20 or more yards, compared to 19 in 2004. He could erupt again, but expect 75-850-7 and you'll be happy.
4. Jason Witten -- 24 -- He's only 24, and he already has two excellent seasons under his belt. Witten's 2005 numbers fell off a little from his 87-980-6 in 2004, but he still scored six touchdowns and improved his yards per catch. With TO on board, Witten could be more effective as the #2 option in the Dallas offense.
5. Todd Heap -- 26 -- It's still hard to believe that he produces in that terrible Baltimore offense... had the best season of his career in 2005, posting 75-855-7. That will probably be the ceiling for Heap, but you won't be upset if he does that every season until he's 32.
6. Kellen Winslow -- 23 -- If the injuries are healed, and Charlie Frye likes tight ends, Winslow will be special. He's a physical freak, and he will be impossible to cover for a linebacker. He has the ability to make everyone on the offense better, just by his presence. Now he just needs a safer hobby...
7. Chris Cooley -- 24 -- He's now scored 13 touchdowns in 32 games, and has moved into the top-10. Cooley is a fantastic possession TE, who rarely goes deep into the secondary. Of his 108 career catches, only nine have gone more than 20 yards. He's efficient in the red zone, and that's what wins games.
8. L.J. Smith -- 26 -- should have flourished last season as the full-time starter, but didn't... Smith might benefit from Terrell Owens' departure, but it's hard to see him catching 80 passes. Look for his touchdown numbers to increase, but remain just below elite.
9. Heath Miller -- 24 -- Miller showed Big Ben that he should be trusted in the red zone. He's a big target, and with the Steelers slowly letting Rothlisberger open up the passing game, he should be productive for several years.
10. Randy McMichael -- 27 -- Battled issues off the field and his game showed it. Although he set a career high with five touchdowns, the rest of his numbers declined. With Daunte Culpepper calling the plays, look for a nice rebound season, and expect 70-800-6.
11. Alge Crumpler -- 28 -- Crumpler is the only guy that Mike Vick can find on a regular basis. His career 13.7 yards per catch shows that he'll go deep, but he needs to be more of a red zone presence. His 65-877-5 is about right, until Vick makes strides as a passer.
12. Jerramy Stevens -- 27 -- former 1st round pick was a nice surprise, scoring four touchdowns in the last six weeks of the season... he should be the full-time starter in 2006 and go over 60 catches for the first time in his career.
13. Dallas Clark -- 27 -- Clark didn't do anything to improve on his promising 2004 campaign. He's still the #1 TE target of Peyton Manning, but the Colts have too many other weapons for Clark to join the elite. Expect a mild statistical bump... he should get to 50-600-5 this year.
14. Ben Troupe -- 24 -- If he and Erron Kinney were one person, everyone would be happier. It was a toss-up as to who would be the better TE week in and week out. Troupe caught 55 passes last year, but only four went for longer than 20 yards. He'll play more underneath, which should mean more red zone touches.
15. Ben Watson -- 25 -- Watson can run... his 29 catches had an average of 15.2 yards per, which led all tight ends. If he could shake Daniel Graham from his spot, Watson could be dangerous. Both will play a factor in 2006, and Watson should end up around 45-600-5.
16. Eric Johnson -- 27 -- 2005 was the second time in three years that he's missed an entire season due to injury, but you can't ignore the 82 catches in 2004. If he's healthy, he'll put up numbers, even in a terrible offense. He's not a deep threat, but has solid hands and runs clean routes.
17. Alex Smith -- 24 -- scored two touchdowns on opening day, and didn't find the end zone the rest of the season... only averaged 9.0 yards per catch on his 41 grabs, but he'll get the tough yardage for the first down. He should be the Bucs #1 TE, and will reach 40 catches again, but not much more.
18. Jermaine Wiggins -- 31 -- 140 catches over the last two seasons, five touchdowns. If you like a player who gives you a little bit of yardage every week, Wiggins is your guy. If you prefer someone who scores more than once every six games, look higher on this list.
19. Erron Kinney -- 29 -- his numbers were identical to Ben Troupe's... the only reason Troupe is higher is because he's five years younger. Both possess good hands, and both have no downfield presence. Both won't catch 55 passes again, and I'm betting Kinney is the odd man out.
20. Courtney Anderson -- 26 -- a giant target who didn't meet expectations in 2005... Anderson had four games in which he started and didn't catch a pass. He should be a presence inside the red zone because of his 6'7" 270lb frame. He could be a sleeper candidate for 2006, or just asleep.
21. Eric Edwards -- 26 -- hasn't produced anything in his two years in Arizona, but he'll be the starter on one of the most potent offenses in the NFL... if he gets a chance to play full-time, Edwards could be a major surprise. Don't expect anything in 2006, but the future looks good.
22. Brandon Manumaleuna -- 26 -- a 300lb tight end? Manu played more like an extra lineman last year, catching 13 passes in 14 games. The Rams would like to use him more in their offense, but it would strictly be in the red zone and when they need to run over a secondary foe.
23. Doug Jolley -- 27 -- a sexy sleeper pick by many experts last season, Jolley lost touches and starts to Chris Baker... since Baker probably won't be back, Jolley has a chance for a rebound season. Could produce 50-600-5, or could lose his job to someone you've never heard of.
24. Daniel Graham -- 28 -- still scores about once for every six catches, the problem is that he only caught 16 passes in 2005... quickly losing his job to Ben Watson. If Graham gets traded, he could have a big impact in the right offense. If not, be careful.
25. Bubba Franks -- 28 -- Franks had his 2005 season cut short by head and neck injuries, but this isn't a trend. He hadn't missed a game in his career before that. If Brett Favre returns, Franks could crack the top-15 again. He has great hands, and he's Favre's favorite end zone receiver. While he averages just more than 20 yards per game for his career, he scored 27 touchdowns between 2001-2004.
26. Reggie Kelly -- 29 -- Kelly is primarily a blocking TE, evident by the fact that he's caught between 13-16 passes for the last five seasons. The Bengals want to get him more involved in the offense, which could mean 30-400-5, or it could mean 14 catches again.
27. Robert Royal -- 27 -- Royal will be the starter in Buffalo after four non-productive years in Washington. He's a big target with soft hands, and could catch four or five touchdowns in 2006.
28. Jeb Putzier -- 27 -- I'm sure he'll end up higher than this, but it's hard to rank a guy in the top-20 when he has only two career touchdowns and signed with the Texans. If David Carr moves the ball around and Putz gets in the action, he could be a 50-600-4 player.
29. Zach Hilton -- 26 -- could be the next big thing... already has the "big" part for it. Hilton checks in at 6'8" 277lbs and has good speed. If the Saints decide to use him full-time, he has a chance to be a top-15 TE this year, and better in the future. Honestly...
30. Desmond Clark -- 29 -- he never duplicated his 2001 season of 51-566-6, but he's still a good player. If Rex Grossman stays healthy and looks to Clark, he'll be a nice surprise. The bad news is that Grossman can't stay healthy, and he doesn't look to Clark...

Wednesday, March 22, 2006

Brooks to Raiders

The Oakland Raiders potentially filled their empty starting quarterback spot by signing former Saints QB Aaron Brooks to a two-year deal, believed to be worth $11 million. He will be the favorite to claim the starting job going into the preseason.

Brooks has always been a good fantasy QB. From 2001-2004, he compiled more than 3500 yards and 20+ touchdowns every season. Last year, he was benched for the last three games, but still threw for 2882 yards.

With Randy Moss and Lamont Jordan on his side of the ball, Brooks could be a major sleeper for the 2006 season. He's always been on the verge of fantasy stardom, even though in the NFL, he's looked at as somewhat of an enigma. He doesn't lead his team to victory often, but you don't care, as long as the numbers are there.

Griese to Bears

The Bears found a solid backup to Rex Grossman on Tuesday by signing QB Brian Griese to a contract that makes him a Bear until 2010. The 31-year-old Griese was owed a $2.6 million dollar bonus had he been retained by the Buccaneers. Instead, he was waived, and signed with Chicago.

Griese led Tampa Bay to a 5-1 record before a knee injury sidelined him for the rest of the season. He should be healthy enough by the time the preseason opens to challenge Grossman for Chicago's starting spot. The contract is lengthy, but it's a good move for a team that has struggled at the QB position over the last three seasons when Grossman has been injured.

Vinatieri to Colts

The Indianapolis Colts signed K Adam Vinatieri on Tuesday to replace the loudmouthed Mike Vanderjagt. The terms of Vinatieri's deal aren't entirely known, but it is believed to be a contract paying him at least $11 million over the first three years.

Vinatieri has been one of the most successful kickers in NFL history, scoring 100 points or more in all of his 10 seasons in the league. By signing with the Colts, he should continue that streak. The contract is a little pricey for a 33-year-old kicker, but the fact that he'll be kicking in a dome could prolong his effectiveness. Look for Vinatieri to score 100 or more points for at least the next three years.

Tuesday, March 21, 2006

2006 WR rankings

Here are the 2006 keeper league WR rankings as of the middle of March... rookies are not included in the rankings until after the NFL draft. The number after the player's name indicates his age for a majority of the 2006 season. There will be updates as the offseason continues...

1. Larry Fitzgerald -- 23 -- evolved into the best young WR in the league... if Warner stays healthy, the addition of Edgerrin James only increases his value -- this is the #1 WR in fantasy
2. Steve Smith -- 27 -- I don't like Steve Smith. He's too small, he plays on a team with no #2 WR, and he has already lost a season to injury. That being said, he's a stud... a lock to be a top-10 fantasy WR
3. Chad Johnson -- 28 -- he's the #1 WR in the NFL, but with the injury to Carson Palmer, he falls a few spots... Johnson has already proven that it doesn't matter who throws him the ball, but he rose to elite status with Palmer calling the shots.
4. Terrell Owens -- 32 -- This Eagle landed in Dallas, and into a fantastic situation. The Cowboys needed a true #1 WR to complement Terry Glenn, and with the strong-armed Drew Bledsoe firing darts, TO should have two or three more elite years left... or he'll mentally implode and find himself delivering pizza by November.
5. Anquan Boldin -- 26 -- he'd probably be the #1 fantasy WR if he didn't have Larry Fitzgerald on the other side of the line... has racked up 259 catches in 40 career games. At that pace, he'll break Jerry Rice's career reception record by the time he's 35. Don't bet on 100 catches again, but 85-1300-12 is within reach.
6. Torry Holt -- 30 -- If Marc Bulger could stay healthy for a full season, Holt would be in the top tier of fantasy WR. He's been one of the most productive WR in the NFL over the last six years, and he is entering the career point where the speed diminishes, but the possession skills improve. Look for less catches, more TD this season, and beyond...
7. Reggie Wayne -- 27 -- He actually led the Colts in receptions with 83, but Marvin Harrison is still getting the looks in the red zone. That changes this season. The Colts invested big bucks into Wayne, and he'll respond with huge numbers. The loss of Edgerrin James will actually help the WR numbers in Indy...
8. Chris Chambers -- 28 -- already has good career numbers, and now has a franchise QB throwing to him... Chambers might not be a top-10 fantasy WR in 2006 because of Daunte Culpepper's injury, but he'll be among the elite in 2007 and afterward. Buy him cheap and hang on...
9. Hines Ward -- 30 -- The Steelers will always be a running team, but with the fantasy emergence of Ben Roethlisberger, Ward will continue to improve. He's quick enough to go the distance, and is a phenomenal possession receiver. He's in the middle of the prime years as a WR, so don't ask him for five more elite seasons, but expect three...
10. Randy Moss -- 29 -- He's still the most dangerous player on the field, but who will be throwing to him? If Joey Harrington lands in Oakland, Moss might move down 10 spots. Bid cautiously... huge upside if the Raiders sign a decent QB.
11. Andre Johnson -- 25 -- phenomenal talent, but was plagued by hamstring and leg injuries for almost all of 2005... if he stays healthy in 2006 and the Texans grab Reggie Bush in the draft, Johnson could be a top-5 WR. Johnson is a major sleeper in 2006... you'll never get him cheaper.
12. Roy Williams -- 24 -- This might be a little too high for him, but all Williams does is catch touchdowns in bunches. Now that he's going to have a decent QB throwing to him, he could join the elite. Having Charles Rogers and Mike Williams at his side doesn't help, but as long as the Lions look to him in the red zone, Roy's owners will be happy.
13. Marvin Harrison -- 34 -- He'll be the #2 target in Indianapolis in 2006, but he's racked up 1100 yards and 10 touchdowns for seven consecutive seasons... are you going to bet against him doing it again?
14. Plaxico Burress -- 29 -- Burress had an awful second half of the season, but his first half was good enough to make his overall numbers look decent. He developed a nice rapport with budding superstar QB Eli Manning, and Burress should be good for 80-1200-10 for the next few seasons.
15. Santana Moss -- 27 -- the poor man's Steve Smith, except the man wasn't so poor if he rode Moss's hot streak last season... odds are against Moss doing it again, but he's versatile enough to be a top-20 WR for several years. Mark Brunell's stats are sure to decline, and he will take Moss with him.
16. Javon Walker -- 28 -- coming off major knee surgery, I'm wondering if I have him ranked too high... if Brett Favre retires, Walker won't be a top-20 fantasy WR. He might not be anyways, at least not until 2007.
17. Darrell Jackson -- 27 -- it seems like he's been around forever, but he's only entering his 7th season... Jackson is always a health issue, but if he can stay on the field, you won't be disappointed in him 15 receivers into the draft. He was on pace for 101 catches last year, but expect 80-1200-9 in 2006 and you'll be happy...
18. Deion Branch -- 27 -- played a complete season for the first time in his career... barely missed 1000 yards on his 78 catches. He is due for a statistical increase, and I can see him moving into Santana Moss territory, with 85-1200-8 this year. If the injury bug comes back, jump ship.
19. Donte Stallworth -- 25 -- finally showed some skill after two disappointing seasons following a promising rookie year... Stallworth is one of the fastest WR in the NFL, and if he gets along with Drew Brees, the pair could put up gaudy numbers. Joe Horn will take a backseat to Stallworth in 2006, and Donte could jump up into tier 2 of fantasy WR.
20. Lee Evans -- 25 -- it all rests on the arm of JP Losman... if the two build rapport, Evans could score 20 touchdowns. Of his 96 career catches, 16 are touchdowns. He doesn't have a great presence inside the red zone because he's only 5'9", but he's a threat to score from anywhere.
21. Braylon Edwards -- 23 -- i know this is high, but once this kid recovers from a torn ACL, he could take the league by storm... Edwards is a 6'3" beast, who has the speed and vision to become a top WR in the NFL. Browns QB Charlie Frye will realize that Edwards should be a red zone terror. Watch the knee and bid accordingly...
22. Laveranues Coles -- 28 -- Coles actually put up decent numbers despite a season-long foot injury and playing with a terrible offense. The health of Chad Pennington will tell the tale on the 2006 season of Coles... keep in mind, he's caught 73 or more passes in four consecutive seasons.
23. Reggie Brown -- 26 -- he's young, he's agile and he's the new #1 target of Donovan McNabb... that makes him automatically a top-25 pick. Brown could surprise a lot of owners, depending on who lines up with him. With the Eagles RB catching so many passes out of the backfield, Brown should have room to test secondaries in 2006.
24. TJ Houshmandzadeh -- 29 -- be honest -- how many of you didn't draft him because you couldn't say his name? Housh's season rides on Carson Palmer's knee. Unlike Chad Johnson, who will catch 90 passes if I'm throwing the ball, Housh erupted once Palmer became the full time starter. If the knee is healed, mispronounce his name at the draft and laugh all season...
25. Donald Driver -- 30 -- Driver's touchdown total was cut in half after the injury to Javon Walker. While this isn't a good sign, it proves that he's a natural #2 receiver, but falters as the star. Even at that, if you can get a guy 25 WR into the draft that has gone 170-2429-14 in the last two seasons, that's acceptable...
26. Drew Bennett -- 28 -- since his explosion over the last five weeks of 2004, Bennett has been mediocre... he missed a few games to injury, but didn't come close to maintaining his pace from the season before. He's still a 6'5" receiver and should be the #1 target for whoever the Titans trot out at QB.
27. Derrick Mason -- 32 -- if Mason could find the end zone, he'd be a top-5 WR... he's averaged 86-1136 over the last five seasons, but has only scored 32 touchdowns, including three in 2005. Mason will continue to produce, as long as he can catch balls over the middle and turn the corner. Expect a season of 75-1000-5 and you won't get burned.
28. Rod Smith -- 36 -- his AARP application is in the mail, but he's still producing... Smith had his best season since 2001 last year, and who's to say he can't do it again? Over his nine years as a starter, he's averaged 86-1165. It says here that he has two more good seasons left.
29. Joe Horn -- 34 -- he's only one year removed from 94-1399-11 but he looked awful when healthy last year... It will be interesting to see how Horn's numbers will change with the arrival of Drew Brees. He's only been a starter for six years in the NFL, so he has a few more miles left on his legs.
30. Joey Galloway -- 34 -- he'll be 35 on November 20, so this might be too high for him... He revived his career in 2005 by posting 1000 yards and 10 touchdowns for the first time since 1998. If health stays on his side, there is no reason he can't do it again.
31. Nate Burleson -- 25 -- just terrible last year after a promising 2004... Burleson is still young, and seemed to become more interested once Brad Johnson took over the QB duties late in the year. A great sleeper pick 30 WR into your draft, because he could return to 2004 form.
32. Antonio Bryant -- 25 -- It pained me to see him sign with the 49ers, because I think he's a phenomenal talent who hasn't been given a chance to shine yet. Unless Alex Smith has a breakout season, it will be at least two years until Bryant is a major fantasy contributor.
33. Terry Glenn -- 32 -- could benefit greatly from the signing of TO... Glenn looked like the next big thing during his rookie campaign in 1996. The bad news is that 1996 was his best season. Don't expect a repeat of 1996, but his 2005 numbers of 62-1136-7 could be close.
34. Mike Williams -- 22 -- huge talent, bad system... Williams is an enigma. He's the physical clone to Terrell Owens, but his situation might prohibit him from becoming a star. With three 1st-round draft picks at WR, whoever throws for Detroit should single Williams out as the main red zone threat.
35. Jerry Porter -- 28 -- can't get over the 1000 yard hurdle, although he did catch 76 passes last year... Porter would benefit from a healthy Randy Moss and a decent replacement for Kerry Collins. He's still young enough to blow by defensive backs, but without a diversion, he's just an average receiver.
36. Ernest Wilford -- 27 -- rising star showed his nose for the end zone with seven touchdowns in only 41 catches... Wilford could take over as the #1 option for Byron Leftwich in 2006, and he will have several other weapons around him. He's another great sleeper pick this deep into the draft. Look for a minimum of 65-900-8 and you won't be disappointed.
37. Troy Williamson -- 24 -- I just like his size and his speed, and that's the only reason he's ranked this high. The Vikings had to see something in him when they passed on Mike Williams to grab him in the 2005 draft. I see it too, but he needs a chance... he'll be a star by 2008.
38. Kevin Curtis -- 28 -- I don't honestly know what Curtis is worth. If Isaac Bruce stays healthy and Curtis goes back to being #3, he could be completely worthless. Since that probably won't happen, he has value. Reminds me a little of ex-Bear Tom Waddle...
39. Mark Clayton -- 24 -- had a great December, but otherwise a rookie season to forget... Clayton has a chance to be a very good NFL WR, but he won't give too much in the fantasy world because of the system he plays in. He could catch 70-80 passes in 2006, but I'd be surprised to see more than five touchdowns.
40. Michael Clayton -- 24 -- a complete bust after a great rookie season... Clayton should be ranked higher, but I can't trust him to show up. If he's on, a return to 2004 numbers is attainable. If not, he'll drive you crazy again...
41. David Givens -- 26 -- he's still young, but he didn't do anything in New England to make me think he'll become a star... Givens is an average-sized, average-speed WR who might just need a starting job to produce. Or he might need a new profession.
42. Ashley Lelie -- 26 -- took a giant step back after a nice 2004 campaign... Lelie is still a deep threat, averaging 17.9 yards per catch, but he fell out of favor with Broncos coach Mike Shanahan early and never recovered. Look for him to bounce back, but proceed with caution.
43. Charles Rogers -- 25 -- Rogers has been called the most talented of the "big three" in Detroit, but he's played a total of 15 games in three seasons with the Lions. Let someone else take the chance that 2006 is the year he stays off IR.
44. Muhsin Muhammad -- 33 -- wow... what a difference a system can make. Went from 93-1405-16 in 2004 with Carolina to 64-750-4 in 2005 with Chicago. 2006 won't be much better, as the Bears will look to develop young WR talent. Avoid Muhammad and you'll be happy later.
45. Michael Jenkins -- 24 -- Andre the Giant could play WR for the Falcons and Michael Vick still couldn't hit him... Jenkins is 6'4" and has good hands, but he seems to be the victim of a bad passing QB system. If he were to pop up on another squad, he could be a top-25 WR. Until then, avoid all WR from Atlanta.
46. Brandon Lloyd -- 25 -- bad attitude preventing him from becoming a very good NFL player... The Redskins will have to tame Lloyd, and convince him that he'll play second fiddle to Santana Moss. If he responds well, he could put up nice numbers.
47. Matt Jones -- 23 -- I thought the Jaguars blew their first round pick, but it turns out Jones can play. He would probably be best suited as a TE on passing downs, and a WR otherwise, but Jacksonville wants to use him as a decoy. That's fine by me, as long as he scores.
48. Eric Moulds -- 33 -- The good: caught 494 passes in the last six years. The bad: he's 33 years old and Buffalo doesn't seem to want him. He still has some gas in the tank, but he'd be better suited as a possession receiver and red zone threat.
49. Cedrick Wilson -- 27 -- not what the Steelers thought they were getting... Wilson is an undersized WR with a huge contract, so Pittsburgh will try to mold him into a #2 WR opposite Hines Ward. Wilson doesn't block very well, so the experiment might fail.
50. Keyshawn Johnson -- 34 -- Recent rumors have him back in New York, but the charismatic WR isn't elite anymore. It'd be a bad idea for anyone to "give him the damn ball" in 2006.
51. Justin McCareins -- 27 -- now has two disappointing seasons under his belt in New York. McCareins was closer in 2005 to the deep threat that the Jets thought they had; 12 of his 43 catches went for more than 20 yards. If the Jets solve their QB woes, McCareins could finally have a 1000 yard season. Don't bet the farm on it, though...
52. Brandon Stokley -- 30 -- When the Colts offense tripped out of the gates, so did Stokley, and he never recovered. He didn't score until week 10, and then not again the rest of the season. He's the #3 option in Indy, and you can expect something between his 2004 and 2005 numbers. 53. Koren Robinson -- 26 -- Robinson made a great comeback from alcoholism and went to the Pro Bowl as a kick returner. That doesn't do squat for you in your fantasy league, but if the Vikes ever decide to use him as a #3 receiver, he could post nice digits. Still young enough to gamble on... but not while drinking....
54. Isaac Bruce -- 33 -- He's had a great career as a Ram, including seven seasons with more than 1000 yards. 2006 won't be his eighth, so avoid him like the plague.
55. Jabar Gaffney -- 25 -- Probably will start the season as the #3 WR in Philly, but could produce numbers as a deep threat. Gaffney had four eerily similar seasons in Houston, so I'm looking for a mild improvement.
56. Mark Bradley -- 24 -- Bradley missed a good chunk of his rookie year with an ACL injury. The Bears second round pick in the 2005 draft is a phenomenal athlete, who could flourish if Rex Grossman stays healthy. This could be a sleeper for 2007.
57. Tyrone Calico -- 25 -- I gushed over Calico's size and speed after the 2003 NFL draft, but he's produced nothing in three seasons. Injuries and lack of a starting spot have inhibited his progress. If he can stay on the field, he could be the bounce back player of the year.
58. Chris Henry -- 23 -- Henry had six touchdowns in his rookie season and gave Carson Palmer a big target as a #3 WR. He will continue to improve and force the Bengals to use more three receiver sets. If Palmer is 100%, Henry could give you 55-600-7 or better. A good gamble for the future.
59. Samie Parker -- 25 -- disappointing season after all of the preseason hype... Parker was bothered by leg injuries for part of the season. The Chiefs passing offense wasn't up to the levels of the previous three years, and don't look for an immediate rebound.
60. Roddy White -- 24 -- see #45 Michael Jenkins... except White is 6'0" and faster than Jenkins. Otherwise, same situation...
61. Eddie Kennison -- 33 -- still gets behind the defenders, even at 33... Kennison has back-to-back seasons of 1000+ yards, and he's averaged more than 15 yards per carry each of the last five years. Even with those numbers, avoid him. It won't continue.
62. Amani Toomer -- 32 -- had a nice run between 1999-2003, and his seven touchdowns will tease people, but this Toomer has burst... look younger for your #4 or #5 fantasy WR.
63. Bryant Johnson -- 25 -- the third wheel on a two-wheel bicycle... Johnson has a ton of talent, but the two WR in front of him aren't bad either. If he gets into the lineup somehow, he'll be a top-30 WR. If not, just more of the same.
64. Joe Jurevicius -- 31 -- Cleveland? He's going to Cleveland? Jurevicius finally had a monster season in 2005, scoring 10 touchdowns and providing the Seahawks with a much needed red zone target. So he signs with Cleveland. Check, please...
65. Robert Ferguson -- 26 -- Watch Ferguson closely. He is Javon Walker, circa 2003. All he needs is a chance to play, and he could erupt into a superstar. Ferguson has put up consisent, unspectacular numbers as a #3 WR for the last four seasons. Is this his year?
66. Jimmy Smith -- 37 -- another great career along the lines of Rod Smith, coming to an end... Smith is hanging on for dear life now, but his final numbers of 70-1023-6 don't look too bad. The Jaguars have several options waiting in the wings to take over the #1 spot, and I'd be surprised if Smith is any better than #3 by the time the 2006 season ends.
67. Reche Caldwell -- 27 -- another receiver that I've been singing praise for over the last three years, yet he's amounted to nothing... The only reason he cracks the top-70 is that Tom Brady throws to everyone, so he could catch five touchdowns on accident.
68. Arnaz Battle -- 26 -- Battle is nothing special, especially playing for the 49ers. He's another tall Notre Dame WR that hasn't amounted to much in the NFL yet. 2006 shouldn't be any different.
69. Antwaan Randle El -- 27 -- The Redskins gave him a giant contract, so you'd be inclined to think they'll use him. With Santana Moss, he'll be part of the shortest starting WR unit in the NFL. He's valuable on punt returns, but that doesn't get you far...
70. Marty Booker -- 30 -- scored two touchdowns in the last three weeks to save an otherwise miserable season... The addition of Daunte Culpepper can't hurt him.

Sunday, March 19, 2006

Bradley Braves in Sweet 16

A little off the topic, but I'd like to congratulate my alma mater, Bradley University, on making it to the Sweet 16 in the NCAA basketball tournament. BU entered as a 13 seed, and upset 4th seeded Kansas in the first round and 5th seeded Pittsburgh today. The Braves will face the #1 seed Memphis on Thursday. Good luck and congrats to the Braves...